Wharton Sports Analytics Journal

Open Access · ISSN 3070-4065

SPRING 2025

Deal or No Deal? – How NFL Teams May Be Better Off in the Draft

AUTHOR

Shreyas Vinchurkar

ABSTRACT

In this research paper, we will identify the best strategies that successful teams use, to win playoff games and make profits for the team. It aims to uncover how strategic decision-making in team management influences both on-field performance and financial outcomes, particularly in relation to market size and economic factors .

Through the use of historical data from the past decade, trends in draft picks, free agency spending, and team performance metrics were uncovered. Case studies of marquee draft selections and their immediate economic effects on teams were also included. Additionally, economic variables such as market size, gross domestic product(GDP), and disposable income in metropolitan areas were examined to evaluate their influence on revenue patterns.

Our findings demonstrate that larger markets, such as New York and Los Angeles, maintain consistently high revenue irrespective of team performance, whereas smaller markets exhibit a strong correlation between revenue and on-field success.

About the Wharton Sports Analytics Journal

ISSN 3070-4065 (Online)

The Journal is published by the Wharton Sports Analytics and Business Initiative and features original student research at the intersection of sports, business, and analytics. Explore the Journal.

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