FALL 2022
Is Everton’s One-Season Drop Off Due to Random or Structural Factors?
AUTHORS
Sammit Bal, University of Pennsylvania (Moneyball Academy)
Sanjay Bharadwaj, University of Pennsylvania (Moneyball Academy)
Carlo Sebastiani, University of Pennsylvania (Moneyball Academy)
Kevin Yu, University of Pennsylvania (Moneyball Academy)
ABSTRACT
As a low scoring sport, soccer has relatively more random outcomes. This project examines the English Premier League team Everton’s results from the 2020-21 and 2021-22 seasons to determine the cause in the observed drop in performance. We find that Everton’s drop off was due mainly to structural factors. Factors which include the departures of the manager and three star players that were worth a combined $50 million.
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